Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.032878 0.038276 0.044215 0.051227 0.059269 0.068194 0.078841
2025-09-14 0.024734 0.031750 0.040181 0.051024 0.064559 0.080855 0.101917
2025-09-21 0.018787 0.026289 0.036031 0.049527 0.067645 0.091021 0.123345
2025-09-28 0.014947 0.022588 0.033216 0.048932 0.071409 0.102190 0.147277
2025-10-05 0.013082 0.021152 0.033068 0.051714 0.079871 0.120437 0.182830
2025-10-12 0.011405 0.019622 0.032436 0.053544 0.087017 0.137480 0.218538
2025-10-19 0.009409 0.017186 0.029967 0.052077 0.088801 0.146580 0.243232
2025-10-26 0.008006 0.015458 0.028316 0.051579 0.091887 0.157811 0.272200
2025-11-02 0.006706 0.013662 0.026238 0.049993 0.092840 0.165534 0.296100
2025-11-09 0.005697 0.012216 0.024534 0.048765 0.094151 0.173828 0.321594
2025-11-16 0.005006 0.011259 0.023573 0.048721 0.097490 0.185830 0.354523
2025-11-23 0.004289 0.010119 0.022076 0.047420 0.098276 0.193264 0.379900
2025-11-30 0.003986 0.009824 0.022255 0.049509 0.105915 0.214221 0.432551
2025-12-07 0.003533 0.009115 0.021468 0.049513 0.109430 0.227780 0.472673
2025-12-14 0.003040 0.008215 0.020131 0.048157 0.109982 0.235624 0.502501
2025-12-21 0.002675 0.007559 0.019234 0.047627 0.112182 0.246919 0.540209
2025-12-28 0.002561 0.007517 0.019752 0.050365 0.121775 0.274214 0.612945
2026-01-04 0.002399 0.007319 0.019864 0.052164 0.129465 0.298233 0.681023
2026-01-11 0.002087 0.006648 0.018703 0.050739 0.129608 0.306105 0.715529
2026-01-18 0.001860 0.006173 0.017967 0.050256 0.131885 0.318821 0.761635
2026-01-25 0.001617 0.005599 0.016875 0.048709 0.131397 0.325269 0.794398
2026-02-01 0.001420 0.005121 0.015968 0.047512 0.131614 0.333309 0.831425
2026-02-08 0.001287 0.004822 0.015515 0.047470 0.134738 0.348400 0.885984